Abstract and Real in Voter Roll Analysis

Both are important, but Real is what proves the Abstract is correct.

I recently saw some interviews from Ed Solomon and was asked to comment on his work. Ed is definitely a Patriot. I had the great pleasure of meeting him at the Lindell Symposium in August of 2023 where we were both speakers and we traded phone calls and text messages as I worked to understand his approach to the problem.

Along with Ed, I have followed the work of other great statistical modeler with one of my favorites being Phil Evans. Phil was called to testify in multiple court cases as a subject matter expert on statistical analysis of elections. Here is Phil’s testimony at a Pima County, AZ hearing on the 2020 election. Phil has been doing this work for years nationally and is wealth of knowledge.

The work of these pioneers will eventually prove seminal because like most engineers, they worked to find the simplest way to digest an oceans worth of data and make a simple abstract to tell if the elections were rigged or not.

But I believe people may need help understanding the different between an abstract and real analysis and what role both play in election integrity.

The best way to explain it is to use an analogy in a story.

Imagine you are a military general back in 1935. Just for reference, most people didn’t have a TV at home till the 1950s, so anything with a screen must have seemed both puzzling and astonishing at the time.

You are called into a room to see a new invention called “RADAR.” You walk up to a group of people huddled around a green screen with an arm moving around it like a clock.

All you see a few dots on a screen and hear an occasional “BLIP.” But you do notice how excited the engineers are and ask for an explanation.

The man closest to the screen turns to you and says “Sir, if you see this dot here. That dot sir, is an airplane.”

I can imagine the first time someone as high up in authority as a military general saw this probably let out a small chuckle and simply said “Prove it.”

That is where we are currently stand with lots of the statistical analysis and should give you a good backdrop to understand the difference between an abstract and real analysis in the voter rolls.

Much like the pioneers in the early radar field, the advanced math and statical gurus in election integrity will be able to look at each other charts and say, “Yep. That’s not normal.”

But back to our analogy, for the average person, until someone can pull out some binoculars and see an airplane EXACTLY where the blip on the screen says it is, we don’t know what to make of it.

Abstract analysis is ABSOLUTELY CRITICAL to solving this problem because it can pinpoint issues in an ocean of votes. However, till their claims are backed with REAL examples directly related to their ABSTRACT findings, the public, in general, won’t know what to make of the findings.

Much like financial experts have been trained to use charts to analyze trends in the market, we’ll need a group of experts who can continue to watch elections and spot anomalies with abstract analysis.

I know if wasn’t for Captain K’s (Seth Keshel) abstract work on state voter rolls, I wouldn’t know what states and counties needed to be prioritization for the 2024 election.

But does Seth’s work directly point to fraud?

No. He is looking for unusual growth in voter rolls, and in some cases a burst in new development could also cause voter rolls to quickly break out of historical trends and rise unusually quickly. So ALL models will have some level of accuracy when trying to relate them to election anomalies. Seth’s approach is very accurate but not 100% for voter fraud.

As an aside…Seth’s work is EXTRAORDINARILY accurate when it comes to predicting election outcomes. He was 100% at predicting the 2024 presidential election outcome.

So the folks doing both Abstract and Real Elections Analytics NEED EACH OTHER right now. The abstract analysis can save tremendous amounts of resources by focusing us directly on top of the anomalies. And the real analysis can help prove that the abstract models are correct in finding the real problems.

The People’s Audit is committed to finding problems that are being used to commit Voter & Election Fraud. We use both the abstract & the real analysis to focus down on problems and prioritize them by their volume.

To give you an example, our initial abstract analysis after the 2020 election pointed to mail ballots and when we investigated this further in Florida, we discovered unreachable voters due to bad addresses or the fact that they had long since left the state. And that category of undeliverable voters was being abused in the 2020 election. THAT WAS A REAL DISCOVERY that average people could easily recognize.

With pressure from the grass roots in Florida, we were able to push through new legislation in 2023 requiring voter registrations be checked with mailings to see if the individuals were still there. As well as The People’s Audit was constantly monitoring if local officials were in fact following the law and removing these voters from the active voter rolls.

This resulted in a historic voter roll clean up in Florida where 1.2 million registrants were cleaned off the Florida voter rolls between Nov 2020 and April 2024! Nearly a million of those cleaned off were Democrats and a quarter of million were No-Party Affiliates (NPA) resulting in Republicans achieving a 1 million voter lead in registrations FOR THE FIRST TIME in a state that historically leaned Democratic up to that point.

But we’re not done yet…

Ultimately, we working towards solutions that use the abstract to immediately identify the real problems. So instead of a just a blip on a screen, we can tell you what type of aircraft it is…and maybe even who is flying it ;)